11 Most Failed Forecasting in the World
Since the early time, people tends to give a negative opinion to something that is out of his/her calculation. Fortunately, world is not only filled with people like that. There is some people around us who rather die trying than hearing a blank comment. Here`s the list of 11most failed forecastingin the world.
1.First Female Prime Minister
Margaret thatcher
On October 26th, 1969. Margaret thatcher once said “It will be years not in my time before a woman will become Prime Minister”
One decade after she said it. She became first Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for 2 times in a row ( from 1979 to 1990).
2.Computers sale
Thomas Watson, Chairman of IBM in 1943
In 1940s, A computer is a giant electronic gadget. Only view computers made that time and the production cost was so expensive so that it was impossible to be mass produced.
Thomas Watson, chairman of IBM, in 1943, said “I think there is a world market for maybe five computers.”
His statement is useless this moment and if he reborn today, I am sure he wont dare to count every number of computer in a university with his finger.
3.HIV virus
Dr. Peter Duesberg
In the early 80s, AIDS was not considered as a threat of the world.
Dr. Peter Duesberg from U.C. Berkeley in 1988 said “That virus [HIV] is a pussycat”.
Well, he wont dare to repeat that opinion today. As a doctor, it will be so shamed to consider a virus that already killed 25.000.000 peoples in 2006 as a pussycat
4.Oil Drilling
Oil Drilling
Edwin L. Drake associates, in 1859, refused to drill oil because it was non sense with the technology that was available on that day.
His friend said “Drill for oil? You mean drill into the ground to try and find oil? You’re crazy.”
5.Rocket Launched
First rocket Launched
in 1946, the first rocket launched 50 miles to the sky and it was a fact that socked New York time that said “A rocket will never be able to leave the Earth’s atmosphere.” 10 years earlier.
6.Mick Jagger
Mick Jagger
When Rolling Stones a new born band, not many people like the lead singer include the manager. Eric Easton, 1st Rolling Stones manager once said “The singer [Mick Jagger] will have to go; the BBC won’t like him.”
7.High Speed train
High Speed train
A concept of high speed train was impossible for Dr Larder, a professor of Natural Philosophy and Astronomy at the University College London. In 1800, he once said “Rail travel at high speed is not possible because passengers, unable to breathe, would die of asphyxia.”
As info: First high speed train was released in 1939 and it could run 165 km/h. a modern high speed train can go faster than that.
8.Air plane
Airplane
Before 1900, Air transport was only fantasy.
Lord Kelvin, a British mathematician, physicist, and a president of the British Royal Society ,in 1895, once said “Heavier-than-air flying machines are impossible.”. 8 years later, Orville and Wilbur Wright broke that opinion and silenced lord kelvin forever .
9.Bigger than Boeing 247
Airbus A380
A plane bigger than Boeing 247 was impossible in the head of one of Boeing 247 Engineer. Today, latest Airbus A380 can lift 853 people and can facilitated them with Sauna, restaurants and a duty free shop.Compare to Boeing 247 which only carried 10 peoples, sure it is too big to compare.
10.Smoking and Lung Cancer
Lung cancer
In 1954, W.C. Heuper from National Cancer Institute said “If excessive smoking actually plays a role in the production of lung cancer, it seems to be a minor one.” Since 1980, this opinion approved to be wrong once United States Surgeon had a technology to see deeper on a human lungs and found a trace of tobacco that turning to be a deadly cancer
11.Computer Memory
Bill Gates
You may not believe this but Bill gates ,in 1981, said “640K ought to be enough for anybody.” It is funny to hear that again today if it comes out from the same mouth. Sorry Mr. Bill, but no one will buy your computer if you only put 640 kilobyte memory on it.
source : http://www.mostinterestingfacts.com/human/11-most-failed-forecasting-in-the-world.html
